Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.000192 0.000214 0.000239 0.000266 0.000297 0.000331 0.000370
2025-02-16 0.000158 0.000188 0.000223 0.000265 0.000315 0.000373 0.000445
2025-02-23 0.000133 0.000167 0.000208 0.000262 0.000329 0.000410 0.000518
2025-03-02 0.000112 0.000149 0.000194 0.000256 0.000337 0.000441 0.000584
2025-03-09 0.000098 0.000135 0.000184 0.000253 0.000349 0.000476 0.000659
2025-03-16 0.000087 0.000125 0.000177 0.000253 0.000362 0.000514 0.000740
2025-03-23 0.000079 0.000117 0.000171 0.000254 0.000377 0.000553 0.000827
2025-03-30 0.000071 0.000109 0.000165 0.000252 0.000387 0.000587 0.000907
2025-04-06 0.000065 0.000103 0.000161 0.000254 0.000401 0.000627 0.001001
2025-04-13 0.000060 0.000098 0.000156 0.000254 0.000414 0.000666 0.001095
2025-04-20 0.000054 0.000091 0.000150 0.000251 0.000420 0.000693 0.001173
2025-04-27 0.000052 0.000090 0.000151 0.000259 0.000445 0.000755 0.001312
2025-05-04 0.000049 0.000086 0.000149 0.000262 0.000463 0.000807 0.001443
2025-05-11 0.000045 0.000082 0.000146 0.000265 0.000480 0.000859 0.001578
2025-05-18 0.000042 0.000078 0.000142 0.000264 0.000491 0.000901 0.001701
2025-05-25 0.000038 0.000073 0.000136 0.000259 0.000495 0.000930 0.001802
2025-06-01 0.000035 0.000069 0.000132 0.000258 0.000504 0.000970 0.001927
2025-06-08 0.000033 0.000066 0.000129 0.000258 0.000516 0.001017 0.002069
2025-06-15 0.000031 0.000063 0.000127 0.000259 0.000530 0.001068 0.002226
2025-06-22 0.000029 0.000060 0.000123 0.000257 0.000539 0.001108 0.002363
2025-06-29 0.000027 0.000058 0.000121 0.000259 0.000554 0.001164 0.002537
2025-07-06 0.000026 0.000056 0.000119 0.000259 0.000567 0.001216 0.002708
2025-07-13 0.000024 0.000053 0.000115 0.000256 0.000570 0.001248 0.002840